Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.249824 0.282455 0.317158 0.356752 0.400611 0.447639 0.501818
2025-08-31 0.204318 0.247907 0.297099 0.356505 0.426068 0.504701 0.600060
2025-09-07 0.175893 0.226848 0.287350 0.364007 0.458014 0.568977 0.709255
2025-09-14 0.151073 0.205988 0.274262 0.364551 0.479881 0.621245 0.806474
2025-09-21 0.131635 0.188902 0.263148 0.365204 0.500387 0.671690 0.903285
2025-09-28 0.116044 0.174634 0.253592 0.366026 0.519928 0.720846 1.000139
2025-10-05 0.104728 0.164665 0.248357 0.371411 0.544899 0.777481 1.108847
2025-10-12 0.096548 0.158077 0.246836 0.381201 0.575754 0.842857 1.231832
2025-10-19 0.087882 0.149681 0.241691 0.384937 0.597692 0.896444 1.340573
2025-10-26 0.081325 0.143733 0.239422 0.392311 0.624748 0.957915 1.462557
2025-11-02 0.076559 0.140061 0.240124 0.403865 0.658180 1.029587 1.601756
2025-11-09 0.069436 0.131713 0.232683 0.402050 0.670954 1.071256 1.698668
2025-11-16 0.063000 0.124077 0.226057 0.401514 0.686390 1.118761 1.808304
2025-11-23 0.057161 0.116848 0.219435 0.400371 0.700605 1.164890 1.917791
2025-11-30 0.053481 0.113115 0.218355 0.408183 0.729390 1.234489 2.065837
2025-12-07 0.048978 0.107331 0.213161 0.408510 0.745731 1.285107 2.186324
2025-12-14 0.044982 0.102063 0.208384 0.409078 0.762263 1.336458 2.309724
2025-12-21 0.041426 0.097259 0.203997 0.409901 0.779046 1.388652 2.436220
2025-12-28 0.038854 0.094179 0.202537 0.415798 0.804718 1.456241 2.589934
2026-01-04 0.037077 0.092576 0.203733 0.426577 0.839365 1.539950 2.772935
2026-01-11 0.034689 0.089371 0.201504 0.430684 0.862174 1.604474 2.926305
2026-01-18 0.032917 0.087338 0.201422 0.438809 0.892529 1.682861 3.105481
2026-01-25 0.031722 0.086497 0.203674 0.451548 0.931867 1.778079 3.316261